1 - 6 of 6 Chapters
[In this chapter our main aim is to introduce you to the Modgen software and to the Visual Studio programming software, guiding you through the creation of a first basic model. This model will be based on one single type of event: death. Although this will yield only a small number of results,...
[With the help of the Modgen wizard, we have developed and successfully run our first microsimulation program. This simple model was able to calculate life expectancy for a cohort whose risk of death remains constant throughout the simulation. For demographers, and probably for most users, this...
[In the mid 1970s, Professor Andrei Rogers (1975) proposed adapting the life table methodology for regional analysis. The classic demographic approach often abstracted migration, which was considered to be a disrupting phenomenon. Rogers had the idea that migration could be taken into account...
[The models developed in the three previous chapters are “cohort” models, in which all the actors in the simulation are born at the same time. This cohort approach is the principle behind life tables. Although this type of modelling is interesting and very useful for analytical purposes, it...
[This fifth chapter will deal with the integration of a base population into a Modgen microsimulation model, and as such will be more technical than conceptual or demographic. Up to now, the simulated population has been synthetic; all the actors and their characteristics have been generated by...
[We are now at the final stage in the design of a basic microsimulation model – the integration of an elementary international migration module. This module will complete the model we have been developing gradually over the first five chapters. Just as with births, immigrants come into the...
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