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Switchpoints for the Future of Logistics

Part of the SpringerBriefs in Business Book Series

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-23493-4

ISBN: 978-3-642-23492-7

Publisher: Springer Berlin Heidelberg - Springer Journals

Nov 4, 2011

LitStream

Chapter 1Executive Summary

Wieck, Ingo; Streichfuss, Martin; Klaas-Wissing, Thorsten; Stölzle, Wolfgang

Pages: 1 –4

[It has never been more important – or more difficult – to predict the future as it is today. Even established trends appear increasingly fragile and unstable. Unforeseen events repeatedly trigger completely unexpected developments. That is one reason why strategic planners often like to think in...
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Chapter 2The Study Presents a New, Explorative Perspective on the Uncertainty of Future Developments

Wieck, Ingo; Streichfuss, Martin; Klaas-Wissing, Thorsten; Stölzle, Wolfgang

Pages: 5 –8

[Scenarios free strategic planners from the compulsion to plan a one-dimensional future, allowing alternative views of what might lie ahead. However, strategic planners and therefore scenarios must remain focused on decisive issues for future developments. To identify the consequences of our...
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Chapter 3Switchpoints are Forks in the Road of Future Developments

Wieck, Ingo; Streichfuss, Martin; Klaas-Wissing, Thorsten; Stölzle, Wolfgang

Pages: 9 –13

[This study examines switchpoints for the future of the Logistics industry. “Switchpoints” is the term used to denote parameters that will literally set the direction of future developments. Unlike trends, switchpoints do not evolve continuously: At certain points in time, they veer off...
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Chapter 4Approach and Methodology

Wieck, Ingo; Streichfuss, Martin; Klaas-Wissing, Thorsten; Stölzle, Wolfgang

Pages: 15 –19

[Some developments are known as structural breaks: developments that occur without any significant warning. On the other hand, most “unexpected” developments turn out to have been expected by at least some individuals whose opinions never got a hearing. We conducted this study in order to...
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Chapter 5Topics, Findings and Switchpoints

Wieck, Ingo; Streichfuss, Martin; Klaas-Wissing, Thorsten; Stölzle, Wolfgang

Pages: 21 –30

[The 18 topics of this study are clustered in blocks: resources, macroeconomics and lifestyle, networks and technology and green Logistics. The block resources explored whether recycled materials will become the main source of supply. Recycling cycles were investigated, as were the issue of water...
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Chapter 6Detailed Discussion of the 18 Topics

Wieck, Ingo; Streichfuss, Martin; Klaas-Wissing, Thorsten; Stölzle, Wolfgang

Pages: 31 –81

[The study allowed to classify the 18 topics in the three categories trends, switchpoints of uncertainty and switchpoints of opinion-spread. Trends show high general acceptance. Consensus was reached with regard to e.g. ever shorter product lifecycles; the failure to halt the worsening food and...
LitStream

Chapter 7Implications of the Findings

Wieck, Ingo; Streichfuss, Martin; Klaas-Wissing, Thorsten; Stölzle, Wolfgang

Pages: 83 –86

[The classification of topics into switchpoints of uncertainty, switchpoints of opinion-spread and trends provides a useful indication how a topic should be considered in the strategic planning of a company. Based on this classification “lessons learned” should be an individual matter for each...

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