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Subnational Population Estimates

Part of the The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis Book Series (volume 31)

DOI: 10.1007/978-90-481-8954-0

ISBN: 978-90-481-8953-3

Publisher: Springer Netherlands - Springer Journals

Mar 8, 2012

1 - 10 of 18 Chapters

LitStream

Chapter 1Introduction

Swanson, David A.; Tayman, Jeff

Pages: 1 –11

[Although subject to flaws, the most complete and reliable source of information on a population is taken from a census (Bryan, 2004a, 2004b; Swanson and Walashek, 2011). However, a complete enumeration of a population is costly and not all populations have been subject to a census. Even in...
LitStream

Chapter 2Basic Concepts

Swanson, David A.; Tayman, Jeff

Pages: 13 –41

[Creating, interpreting, and evaluating population estimates involves demographic, geographic, and statistical methods and data. This chapter introduces the major demographic concepts of size, distribution, characteristics, and the components of population change along with geographic concepts...
LitStream

Chapter 3Data Sources

Swanson, David A.; Tayman, Jeff

Pages: 43 –56

[Demographic data are collected, produced, and distributed by a variety of federal, state, and local government agencies and private companies (e.g. Bryan 2004a; Murdock and Ellis: Chapter 3). These data are available as printed publications, unpublished reports, and electronic data files, with...
LitStream

Chapter 4Basic Measures

Swanson, David A.; Tayman, Jeff

Pages: 57 –104

[Demographic analysis and population estimation requires the use of quantitative measures and graphical techniques. This chapter discusses commonly used measures in demography, geography, and statistics (e.g., Barber 1988: Chapter 3; Freedman, Pisani, and Purves 2007; Siegel and Swanson 2004;...
LitStream

Chapter 5Overview of Estimation Methods

Swanson, David A.; Tayman, Jeff

Pages: 105 –114

[Our purpose in this chapter is to provide a general roadmap of subnational population estimation methods, which are covered in detail in subsequent chapters. We set the stage for this overview by differentiating between pre-censal, inter-censal, and post-censal estimates and classifying...
LitStream

Chapter 6Extrapolation Methods

Swanson, David A.; Tayman, Jeff

Pages: 115 –135

[Extrapolation techniques rely solely on the pattern of past population changes to estimate the post-censal population, and they assume trends in the post-censal period will be similar to historical trends. This method involves fitting mathematical models to historical data and using these models...
LitStream

Chapter 7Housing Unit Method

Swanson, David A.; Tayman, Jeff

Pages: 137 –163

[The housing unit method is based on the fact that almost everyone lives in some type of housing structure, whether a single family unit, an apartment, a mobile home, a college dormitory, or a state prison. Recall that the demographic balancing equation is an exact identity of population change...
LitStream

Chapter 8Regression Methods

Swanson, David A.; Tayman, Jeff

Pages: 165 –185

[Regression-based methods for estimating population date back to E. C. Snow (1911), who published “The application of the method of multiple correlation to the estimation of post-censal populations” in the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Snow’s paper represents the first published...
LitStream

Chapter 9Censal-Ratio Methods

Swanson, David A.; Tayman, Jeff

Pages: 187 –194

[In the late 17th century, John Graunt estimated the population of London and then of the whole of England and Wales using what today is known as a censal-ratio method (Devlin 2008: 93-94). Not long afterward, in the 18th century, the French mathematician, Laplace, also used a censal-ratio method...
LitStream

Chapter 10Component Methods

Swanson, David A.; Tayman, Jeff

Pages: 195 –206

[These methods have a long history, but not always under the names we now know them by (Shryock and Lawrence, 1949). There are several methods of population estimation that belong to the “component” family. All of the component methods are based on the fundamental demographic equation:]

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