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China’s Macroeconomic Outlook

Part of the Current Chinese Economic Report Series Book Series

DOI: 10.1007/978-981-10-3280-6

ISBN: 978-981-10-3279-0

Publisher: Springer Singapore - Springer Journals

Jan 5, 2017

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Chapter 1China Economic Performance in the First Half of 2016

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Pages: 1 –21

[China’s economic growth continued to slow down further. In the first half of 2016, real GDP growth moderated to 6.7% YoY from 6.9% in 2015 and 7% a year earlier respectively. Of the industrial enterprises above designated size, value added decreased marginally to 6.0% from 6.1% in 2015 and 6.3%...
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Chapter 2Quarterly Forecast for 2016–17

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Pages: 23 –33

[The outcome of the UK vote to exit from the European Union in June 23, 2016, has reinforced uncertainty about the global outlook for 2016-17 and increased expectations of more easing monetary policy in advanced economies. According the World Economic Outlook Update (WEO Update) released by the...
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Chapter 3Policy Simulation: Macroeconomic Effects of Slowdown in Private Investment Growth

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Pages: 35 –50

[In the first half of 2016, China’s private investment growth dropped sharply, triggering concern and heated discussion among policymakers and scholars. Given the easing monetary policy implemented especially in the first quarter, what made the private investment growth plummet? Some clues may be...
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Chapter 4Policy Implications and Suggestions

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Pages: 51 –54

[That the private investment growth dropped dramatically is one of most significant macroeconomic events in 2016. As we know, private economy has grown up to be the main body of China’s economy. Today’s private enterprises contribute over 60% of GDP, over 80% of employment, and over half of tax...

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