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China's Macroeconomic Outlook

Part of the Current Chinese Economic Report Series Book Series

DOI: 10.1007/978-981-13-1005-8

ISBN: 978-981-13-1004-1

Publisher: Springer Singapore - Springer Journals

Jul 31, 2018

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Chapter 1Review of China’s Macroeconomy in 2017

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Pages: 1 –24

[In 2017, the gross domestic product (GDP) of China grew by 6.9%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points over the previous year (Fig. 1.1). The steady growth of economy continued to be consolidated. While the economic structure continues to be optimized, the continued stabilization of industrial...
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Chapter 2China’s Macroeconomic Forecast for 2018–2019

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Pages: 25 –37

[In 2017, the world economies recovered strongly. The U.S. economy grew by 2.3%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points over the previous year; the Eurozone’s economy grew by 2.5%, and the growth rate reached the highest level since 2007. In the next two years, although the U.S. economy is still...
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Chapter 3Policy Effect Simulation

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Pages: 39 –48

[In recent years, the leverage ratio of economy, finance, and non-financial sectors has risen rapidly and is at high levels, which have led to an increase in the possibility of systemic risks in the economy. Among them, due to the existence of “soft budget constraints” and implicit guarantees...
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Chapter 4Policy Recommendations

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Pages: 49 –54

[In 2017, China’s economy continued to grow steadily, with a growth rate of 6.9%. The rapid growth of infrastructure investment and the rapid rebound in the growth of imports and exports were two of the most important factors in stabilizing economic growth. On the one hand, the economic structure...
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Chapter 5Comments and Discussions

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Pages: 55 –74

[The report by the research team of CQMM in Xiamen University emphasized the precision, which was indicated by the index since it was precise to percentile. The prediction of Taiwan’s leadership election is also precise to percentile, but how to test it? I suggest that Xiamen University should...
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Chapter 6Questionnaire Survey on the Macroeconomy of China in 2018

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Pages: 75 –82

[To keep abreast of the macroeconomic situation and policy trend, an annual questionnaire survey of China’s macroeconomic situation and policy jointly started twice a year since the first time in August 2013, held by the Economic Information Daily, Xinhua News Agency and the Center for...

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