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Chinaʼs Macroeconomic Outlook

Part of the Current Chinese Economic Report Series Book Series

DOI: 10.1007/978-981-15-3223-8

ISBN: 978-981-15-3222-1

Publisher: Springer Singapore - Springer Journals

Mar 14, 2020

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Chapter 1China’s Economic Performance in the First Half of 2019

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Pages: 1 –19

[In the first half of 2019, with the weakening of domestic and international economic growth momentum, the Chinese economy performed relatively stable, and the economic structure continued to optimize.]
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Chapter 2Quarterly Forecast for 2019–2020

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Pages: 21 –33

[In the first three quarters of 2019, Sino-US trade frictions continued to escalate, and global economic growth became increasingly sluggish.]
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Chapter 3Policy Simulation: Effects of China’s Tax Cuts Policy to Boost the Growth of Household Consumption

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Pages: 35 –50

[Our forecast results shows that the Chinese economy is expected to continue to slow down in 2020 due to the following reasons: First, the growth of investment is difficult to rebound shortly as, one the one hand, the increasing global trade uncertainty due to Sino-US trade friction has inhibited...
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Chapter 4Conclusions and Policy Suggestions

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Pages: 51 –56

[In the first half of 2019, China’s real GDP grew by 6.3% year-on-year, 0.5 percentage points lower than the same period of the previous year.]

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