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Analysts’ Forecasts and Asset Pricing: A Survey

Analysts’ Forecasts and Asset Pricing: A Survey This survey reviews the literature on sell-side analysts’ forecasts and their implications for asset pricing. We review the literature on the supply and demand forces shaping analysts’ forecasting decisions as well as on the implications of the information they produce for both the cash flow and the discount rate components of security returns. Analysts’ forecasts bring prices in line with the expectations they embody, consistent with the notion that they contain information about future cash flows. However, analysts’ forecasts exhibit predictable biases, and the market appears to underreact to the information in forecasts and to not fully filter the biases in forecasts. Analysts’ forecasts are also helpful in estimating expected returns on securities, but evidence on the relation between analysts’ forecasts and expected returns is still scarce. We conclude by identifying unanswered questions and offering suggestions for future research. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Annual Review of Financial Economics Annual Reviews

Analysts’ Forecasts and Asset Pricing: A Survey

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Publisher
Annual Reviews
Copyright
Copyright © 2016 by Annual Reviews. All rights reserved JEL codes: G10, G11, G12, G14, M40, M41
ISSN
1941-1367
eISSN
1941-1375
DOI
10.1146/annurev-financial-121415-032930
Publisher site
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Abstract

This survey reviews the literature on sell-side analysts’ forecasts and their implications for asset pricing. We review the literature on the supply and demand forces shaping analysts’ forecasting decisions as well as on the implications of the information they produce for both the cash flow and the discount rate components of security returns. Analysts’ forecasts bring prices in line with the expectations they embody, consistent with the notion that they contain information about future cash flows. However, analysts’ forecasts exhibit predictable biases, and the market appears to underreact to the information in forecasts and to not fully filter the biases in forecasts. Analysts’ forecasts are also helpful in estimating expected returns on securities, but evidence on the relation between analysts’ forecasts and expected returns is still scarce. We conclude by identifying unanswered questions and offering suggestions for future research.

Journal

Annual Review of Financial Economics – Annual Reviews

Published: Oct 23, 2016

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