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A new online method for event detection and tracking: empirical evidence from the French stock market

A new online method for event detection and tracking: empirical evidence from the French stock... In this article we propose a new approach in event studies based on a hidden Markov chain combined with a classical event study model. The number of states informs us about the number of significant events affecting the related market, and the identification of the hidden states determines exactly the delimiters of the event period. Studying each state parameters allows us to examine the events' effect on the related market and to compare results to traditional event analysis. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations and preliminary examination of real data in the French stock market show promising results. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png American Journal of Finance and Accounting Inderscience Publishers

A new online method for event detection and tracking: empirical evidence from the French stock market

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Publisher
Inderscience Publishers
Copyright
Copyright © Inderscience Enterprises Ltd. All rights reserved
ISSN
1752-7767
eISSN
1752-7775
DOI
10.1504/AJFA.2008.019877
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

In this article we propose a new approach in event studies based on a hidden Markov chain combined with a classical event study model. The number of states informs us about the number of significant events affecting the related market, and the identification of the hidden states determines exactly the delimiters of the event period. Studying each state parameters allows us to examine the events' effect on the related market and to compare results to traditional event analysis. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations and preliminary examination of real data in the French stock market show promising results.

Journal

American Journal of Finance and AccountingInderscience Publishers

Published: Jan 1, 2008

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