A Machine Learning Based Model of Boko Haram: Arson
Subrahmanian, V. S.; Pulice, Chiara; Brown, James F.; Bonen-Clark, Jacob
2020-12-12 00:00:00
[Boko Haram has used arson for years in its war of terror. The group has torched villages in its campaign to bring sharia law to northeastern Nigeria. In February of 2016, Boko Haram razed the village of Dalori killing 80 people. Those killed in attacks like this are not the only victims. Those whose homes are burnt are displaced and have no other option but to flee to camps for displaced people. People spend years in these camps and live in deplorable conditions (Mohamed H. Thousands displaced by Boko Haram languish in Abuja IDP camps. Aljazeera. https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/thousands-displaced-boko-haram-languish-abuja-idp-camps-180325070133915.html. Accessed 12 Feb 2019, 2018). The goal of this chapter is to present some of the temporal probabilistic rules (TP-Rules) we have developed to predict the occurrence of arson. We also discuss the circumstances surrounding Boko Haram’s arson attacks. By deriving these TP-Rules, our aim is to combat Boko Haram’s campaign of terror.]
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[Boko Haram has used arson for years in its war of terror. The group has torched villages in its campaign to bring sharia law to northeastern Nigeria. In February of 2016, Boko Haram razed the village of Dalori killing 80 people. Those killed in attacks like this are not the only victims. Those whose homes are burnt are displaced and have no other option but to flee to camps for displaced people. People spend years in these camps and live in deplorable conditions (Mohamed H. Thousands displaced by Boko Haram languish in Abuja IDP camps. Aljazeera. https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/thousands-displaced-boko-haram-languish-abuja-idp-camps-180325070133915.html. Accessed 12 Feb 2019, 2018). The goal of this chapter is to present some of the temporal probabilistic rules (TP-Rules) we have developed to predict the occurrence of arson. We also discuss the circumstances surrounding Boko Haram’s arson attacks. By deriving these TP-Rules, our aim is to combat Boko Haram’s campaign of terror.]
Published: Dec 12, 2020
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