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[Secular stagnation—a condition of low growth and underemployment of resources—can arise when some agents intend never to spend a portion of their income. If savers intend to spend all their income in the future, there is an incentive to invest to meet that future demand. If savers do not plan to spend all their income in the future, the portion of income not intended to be spent is “Accumulation”. If Accumulation is correctly anticipated, it will lower expectations of future demand and deter investment, which will cause the economy to operate below full employment. If Accumulation is not correctly anticipated, investment will go on, but will lead to a crisis of over-production in the future, when the anticipated demand fails to materialize.1]
Published: Aug 5, 2016
Keywords: Accumulation; debt-deflation; Greenspan’s conundrum; secular stagnation
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