Get 20M+ Full-Text Papers For Less Than $1.50/day. Subscribe now for You or Your Team.

Learn More →

Analytical Family DemographyFamily Projection Methods: A Review

Analytical Family Demography: Family Projection Methods: A Review [I review methods for projecting the family structure of a population into the future. The focus is on Western countries. I define the concept of “family”, and stress the close link between family and household. There is an important distinction between family position (the attribute of individuals) and family type (the attribute of families). I propose a typology of family projection models, and review a large number of approaches. Consistency problems (being a generalization of the two-sex problem of demography) arise when interrelated events experienced by members of the same family are modelled. Little is known about the accuracy of various types of family projection models. The chapter concludes with an evaluation and assessment of various types of family projection models, using criteria such as data requirements, output detail, ease of programming, and extrapolation of parameters. Agent Based Models and probabilistic projection models are promising avenues for future work.] http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png

Analytical Family DemographyFamily Projection Methods: A Review

Editors: Schoen, Robert
Analytical Family Demography — Sep 13, 2018

Loading next page...
 
/lp/springer-journals/analytical-family-demography-family-projection-methods-a-review-S4MJlUB9Ry

References (94)

Publisher
Springer International Publishing
Copyright
© Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature 2019
ISBN
978-3-319-93226-2
Pages
277 –301
DOI
10.1007/978-3-319-93227-9_12
Publisher site
See Chapter on Publisher Site

Abstract

[I review methods for projecting the family structure of a population into the future. The focus is on Western countries. I define the concept of “family”, and stress the close link between family and household. There is an important distinction between family position (the attribute of individuals) and family type (the attribute of families). I propose a typology of family projection models, and review a large number of approaches. Consistency problems (being a generalization of the two-sex problem of demography) arise when interrelated events experienced by members of the same family are modelled. Little is known about the accuracy of various types of family projection models. The chapter concludes with an evaluation and assessment of various types of family projection models, using criteria such as data requirements, output detail, ease of programming, and extrapolation of parameters. Agent Based Models and probabilistic projection models are promising avenues for future work.]

Published: Sep 13, 2018

Keywords: Family; Projection; Forecast; Model; Family type; Family position; Household; Micro simulation; Macro simulation; Consistency; Agent based model

There are no references for this article.