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[The evolution of computing has shown that it takes several years to develop a user interface style and that this often emerges quite a while after the technology threshold has been passed. The thresholds represent the time when microprocessors have the capability of supporting the indicated form of interface. Figure 4.1 depicts the increase in microprocessor performance (measured in millions of instructions per second, or MIPS) as a function of time. In the early 1960s, Gordon Moore of Intel made the observation-prediction that the capacity of semiconductor chips was doubling every 2 years (Moore’s law). Similar trends have been noted for microprocessor speed, disk storage capacity, and network bandwidth. The points depicted in Figure 4.1 are the performance thresholds necessary for each type of user interface. Thus, a textual interface requires 1 MIPS, a graphical user interface, 10 MIPS; a handwriting interface, 30 MIPS; a speech recognition interface, 100 MIPS; a natural language understanding, 1000 MIPS; and vision understanding, 10,000 MIPS of computing power.]
Published: Jan 1, 2008
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