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International Migration and the Future of Populations and Labour in EuropeThe Use of International Migration Theories in Migration Forecasting—A Practical Approach

International Migration and the Future of Populations and Labour in Europe: The Use of... [This chapter provides an assessment of the usefulness of the theories of international migration from the point of view of migration forecasting. We argue that theories are not very useful for migration forecasters. Migration theories are fragmented, refer to various spatial scales, are difficult to operationalize and span a large number of quite distant disciplines. Nevertheless, we do not advocate here the preparation of completely atheoretical forecasts. Instead, we suggest that picking the most appropriate theories might be a solution for forecasters. We conclude that the push–pull theory is the most suitable theory for direct use in migration forecasts and we analyse the main push—pull factors which have been identified as responsible for international migration in Europe. We also argue that migration policies should be factored explicitly when setting international migration scenarios.] http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png

International Migration and the Future of Populations and Labour in EuropeThe Use of International Migration Theories in Migration Forecasting—A Practical Approach

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References (49)

Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Copyright
© Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. 2013
ISBN
978-90-481-8947-2
Pages
35 –55
DOI
10.1007/978-90-481-8948-9_3
Publisher site
See Chapter on Publisher Site

Abstract

[This chapter provides an assessment of the usefulness of the theories of international migration from the point of view of migration forecasting. We argue that theories are not very useful for migration forecasters. Migration theories are fragmented, refer to various spatial scales, are difficult to operationalize and span a large number of quite distant disciplines. Nevertheless, we do not advocate here the preparation of completely atheoretical forecasts. Instead, we suggest that picking the most appropriate theories might be a solution for forecasters. We conclude that the push–pull theory is the most suitable theory for direct use in migration forecasts and we analyse the main push—pull factors which have been identified as responsible for international migration in Europe. We also argue that migration policies should be factored explicitly when setting international migration scenarios.]

Published: Aug 30, 2012

Keywords: International Migration; Purchase Parity Power; Destination Country; Migration Flow; Migration Policy

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