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- Publisher
- Springer Netherlands
- Copyright
- © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. 2013
- ISBN
- 978-90-481-8947-2
- Pages
- 75 –92
- DOI
- 10.1007/978-90-481-8948-9_5
- Publisher site
- See Chapter on Publisher Site
Abstract
[In this chapter assumptions about future developments of international migration in 27 European countries over the period 2002–2052 are summarized. The assumptions were developed to serve as an input for the forecasts and simulations of population and labour force developments in Europe. On the basis of an overview of the theories of international migration, various ‘push’ and ‘pull’ factors and recent migration trends in Europe presented before, three knowledge-based scenarios for the future are presented and subsequently quantified. The scenarios are formulated separately for the flows among the 27 countries under study and for the net migration with the other parts of the world.]
Published: Aug 30, 2012
Keywords: Labour Market; International Migration; Destination Country; Base Scenario; Migration Policy