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Mathematics of Planet EarthMathematics of Malaria and Climate Change

Mathematics of Planet Earth: Mathematics of Malaria and Climate Change [This chapter is concerned with malaria and the impact of climate change on the spread of malarial diseases on the African continent. The focus is on mathematical models describing the dynamics of malaria under various climate scenarios. The models fit into the Ross–Macdonald framework, with extensions to incorporate a fuller description of the Anopheles mosquito life cycle and the basic physics of aquatic anopheline microhabitats. Macdonald’s basic reproduction number, R0\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document} $$\mathcal {R}_0$$ \end{document}, is used as the primary metric for malaria potential. It is shown that the inclusion of air–water temperature differences significantly affects predicted malaria potential. The chapter includes several maps that relate the local ambient temperature to malaria potential across the continent. Under plausible global warming scenarios, western coastal Africa is likely to see a small decrease in malaria potential, while central, and especially eastern highland Africa, may see an increase in malaria potential.] http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png

Mathematics of Planet EarthMathematics of Malaria and Climate Change

Part of the Mathematics of Planet Earth Book Series (volume 5)
Editors: Kaper, Hans G.; Roberts, Fred S.
Eikenberry, Steffen E.; Gumel, Abba B.
Mathematics of Planet Earth — Nov 2, 2019
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References (102)

Publisher
Springer International Publishing
Copyright
© Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019
ISBN
978-3-030-22043-3
Pages
77 –108
DOI
10.1007/978-3-030-22044-0_4
Publisher site
See Chapter on Publisher Site

Abstract

[This chapter is concerned with malaria and the impact of climate change on the spread of malarial diseases on the African continent. The focus is on mathematical models describing the dynamics of malaria under various climate scenarios. The models fit into the Ross–Macdonald framework, with extensions to incorporate a fuller description of the Anopheles mosquito life cycle and the basic physics of aquatic anopheline microhabitats. Macdonald’s basic reproduction number, R0\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document} $$\mathcal {R}_0$$ \end{document}, is used as the primary metric for malaria potential. It is shown that the inclusion of air–water temperature differences significantly affects predicted malaria potential. The chapter includes several maps that relate the local ambient temperature to malaria potential across the continent. Under plausible global warming scenarios, western coastal Africa is likely to see a small decrease in malaria potential, while central, and especially eastern highland Africa, may see an increase in malaria potential.]

Published: Nov 2, 2019

Keywords: Anopheles mosquito; Malaria; Ross–Macdonald framework; Basic reproduction number; Malaria potential; Africa

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