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[After winning the war, Russia is now seeking to win the peace in Syria. Since the Syrian People’s Congress held in Sochi in January 2018 on its initiative, Russia has been signaling the end of the war. While the political process has come to a standstill in Geneva, the situation around Idlib reminds us that the specter of war is far from being ruled out. After marking time on the Syrian battlefield, Moscow thus intends to give a “boost” to the political negotiations by addressing an unexpected issue: the return of the refugees. However, the limited resources of the Kremlin, the reluctance expressed by some of the European countries to embark on a reconstruction phase, which they consider to be premature, the reservations of the regime to see the return of populations it considers disloyal as well as the actions of Iran in Syria are all obstacles to Moscow’s approach to converting its military gains into a diplomatic victory.]
Published: Sep 15, 2021
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