Get 20M+ Full-Text Papers For Less Than $1.50/day. Subscribe now for You or Your Team.

Learn More →

A multi‐dimensional model for projecting family households ‐ with an illustrative numerical application

A multi‐dimensional model for projecting family households ‐ with an illustrative numerical... This paper develops a multi‐dimensional model for projecting households and population. The model is constructed to ensure consistency between the demographic events occurring to males and females as well as to parents and children. The model permits projection of characteristics of households, their members, and population structure, using data that are usually available from conventional sources. Unlike the traditional headship‐rate method, our model can closely link the projected households with demographic rates. The model includes both nuclear and three‐generation households, so that it can be used for countries where nuclear households are dominant and for countries where nuclear and three‐generation households are both important. The illustrative application to China, although brief, provides some policy‐relevant information about future trends of Chinese household size, structure, and the age and sex distribution of the population, with a focus on the elderly. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Mathematical Population Studies Taylor & Francis

A multi‐dimensional model for projecting family households ‐ with an illustrative numerical application

30 pages

Loading next page...
 
/lp/taylor-francis/a-multi-dimensional-model-for-projecting-family-households-with-an-AvzRImttDN

References (20)

Publisher
Taylor & Francis
Copyright
Copyright Taylor & Francis Group, LLC
ISSN
1547-724x
eISSN
0889-8480
DOI
10.1080/08898489709525432
pmid
12292512
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

This paper develops a multi‐dimensional model for projecting households and population. The model is constructed to ensure consistency between the demographic events occurring to males and females as well as to parents and children. The model permits projection of characteristics of households, their members, and population structure, using data that are usually available from conventional sources. Unlike the traditional headship‐rate method, our model can closely link the projected households with demographic rates. The model includes both nuclear and three‐generation households, so that it can be used for countries where nuclear households are dominant and for countries where nuclear and three‐generation households are both important. The illustrative application to China, although brief, provides some policy‐relevant information about future trends of Chinese household size, structure, and the age and sex distribution of the population, with a focus on the elderly.

Journal

Mathematical Population StudiesTaylor & Francis

Published: Mar 1, 1997

Keywords: Household; Projection; Consistency; Scenarios; Policy; Ageing

There are no references for this article.