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Geography and voting: the growth of urban opposition in South Africa two decades after democratisation

Geography and voting: the growth of urban opposition in South Africa two decades after... AbstractThe results of the 2016 local government elections in South Africa provided a new opportunity to assess voting trends and to explore the synergies of demographics, geography and voting behaviour. Pre-election protests and polls suggested haemorrhaging of support levels for the ruling African National Congress (ANC). Increased support was thus predicted for opposition parties on the political right and left of the ANC, especially for the Democratic Alliance (DA) and the Economic Freedom Front, respectively. These predictions were realised when support for the ANC declined from 62 to 54% nationally, and the ANC received less than half of votes cast in five of the country’s eight metropolitan municipalities. This paper interrogates the election outcomes in the municipal wards of the two largest metropoles, Johannesburg and Cape Town, to determine dynamics of the neighbourhood level changes in voting patterns. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png South African Geographical Journal Taylor & Francis

Geography and voting: the growth of urban opposition in South Africa two decades after democratisation

South African Geographical Journal , Volume 100 (2): 21 – May 4, 2018

Geography and voting: the growth of urban opposition in South Africa two decades after democratisation

South African Geographical Journal , Volume 100 (2): 21 – May 4, 2018

Abstract

AbstractThe results of the 2016 local government elections in South Africa provided a new opportunity to assess voting trends and to explore the synergies of demographics, geography and voting behaviour. Pre-election protests and polls suggested haemorrhaging of support levels for the ruling African National Congress (ANC). Increased support was thus predicted for opposition parties on the political right and left of the ANC, especially for the Democratic Alliance (DA) and the Economic Freedom Front, respectively. These predictions were realised when support for the ANC declined from 62 to 54% nationally, and the ANC received less than half of votes cast in five of the country’s eight metropolitan municipalities. This paper interrogates the election outcomes in the municipal wards of the two largest metropoles, Johannesburg and Cape Town, to determine dynamics of the neighbourhood level changes in voting patterns.

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References (112)

Publisher
Taylor & Francis
Copyright
© 2017 Society of South African Geographers
ISSN
2151-2418
eISSN
0373-6245
DOI
10.1080/03736245.2017.1339628
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

AbstractThe results of the 2016 local government elections in South Africa provided a new opportunity to assess voting trends and to explore the synergies of demographics, geography and voting behaviour. Pre-election protests and polls suggested haemorrhaging of support levels for the ruling African National Congress (ANC). Increased support was thus predicted for opposition parties on the political right and left of the ANC, especially for the Democratic Alliance (DA) and the Economic Freedom Front, respectively. These predictions were realised when support for the ANC declined from 62 to 54% nationally, and the ANC received less than half of votes cast in five of the country’s eight metropolitan municipalities. This paper interrogates the election outcomes in the municipal wards of the two largest metropoles, Johannesburg and Cape Town, to determine dynamics of the neighbourhood level changes in voting patterns.

Journal

South African Geographical JournalTaylor & Francis

Published: May 4, 2018

Keywords: Election; opposition; urban; ward; demographics

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