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Stock Price Reaction to Impromptu Managerial Soft Information in Conference Calls

Stock Price Reaction to Impromptu Managerial Soft Information in Conference Calls Abstract We examine managerial behavior during conference calls vis-à-vis the informational impact on firm stock prices. Implementing an unsupervised machine learning algorithm, we document statistically and economically meaningful relationships between impromptu soft information divulged during calls and stock prices. Managers who choose to divulge more impromptu soft information in the Q&A session experience improved liquidity and less volatility, accompanied with lower abnormal returns. Conditioned on earnings surprise, large positive-surprise impromptu soft information results in larger returns and positive drift, indicating that investors do not completely trust the positive signal initially, with confidence growing over time evidenced as prices adjust to equilibrium. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Journal of Behavioral Finance Taylor & Francis

Stock Price Reaction to Impromptu Managerial Soft Information in Conference Calls

Journal of Behavioral Finance , Volume OnlineFirst: 15 – May 16, 2023
15 pages

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References (36)

Publisher
Taylor & Francis
Copyright
© 2023 The Institute of Behavioral Finance
ISSN
1542-7579
eISSN
1542-7560
DOI
10.1080/15427560.2023.2214262
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Abstract We examine managerial behavior during conference calls vis-à-vis the informational impact on firm stock prices. Implementing an unsupervised machine learning algorithm, we document statistically and economically meaningful relationships between impromptu soft information divulged during calls and stock prices. Managers who choose to divulge more impromptu soft information in the Q&A session experience improved liquidity and less volatility, accompanied with lower abnormal returns. Conditioned on earnings surprise, large positive-surprise impromptu soft information results in larger returns and positive drift, indicating that investors do not completely trust the positive signal initially, with confidence growing over time evidenced as prices adjust to equilibrium.

Journal

Journal of Behavioral FinanceTaylor & Francis

Published: May 16, 2023

Keywords: Behavioral finance; Machine learning; Managerial impromptu information; Stock prices; Textual analysis; G1; G14; G40; G41

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