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Distinguishing and Combining Risks for Sexual and Violent Recidivism

Distinguishing and Combining Risks for Sexual and Violent Recidivism Abstract: A two‐dimensional risk assessment system for sexual offenders was created that can classify them for risk of sexual recidivism, risk of nonsexual violent recidivism, and the composite risk of reconviction for sexual or nonsexual assaults. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses of separate follow‐up samples were used for cross‐validation. The system is easier to score than Static‐99, and substantially easier to score than the VRAG or SORAG, while yielding comparable predictive accuracy in cross‐validation samples with follow‐ups from 2 years to 19 years. ROC AUC coefficients between .74 and .81 were found for the different scales and samples. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences Wiley

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References (14)

Publisher
Wiley
Copyright
Copyright © 2003 Wiley Subscription Services
ISSN
0077-8923
eISSN
1749-6632
DOI
10.1111/j.1749-6632.2003.tb07308.x
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Abstract: A two‐dimensional risk assessment system for sexual offenders was created that can classify them for risk of sexual recidivism, risk of nonsexual violent recidivism, and the composite risk of reconviction for sexual or nonsexual assaults. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses of separate follow‐up samples were used for cross‐validation. The system is easier to score than Static‐99, and substantially easier to score than the VRAG or SORAG, while yielding comparable predictive accuracy in cross‐validation samples with follow‐ups from 2 years to 19 years. ROC AUC coefficients between .74 and .81 were found for the different scales and samples.

Journal

Annals of the New York Academy of SciencesWiley

Published: Jan 1, 2003

Keywords: ; ;

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